On a Slow Boat From China
I know the expression is actually “on a slow boat to China,” meaning it takes a long time. The supply chain is in a state of chaos originating with shutdowns from the COVID worldwide pandemic, and even as a small business in rural Utah, we have not been immune to these effects.
I understand why inflation is heating up—first, government stimulus in the form of one-time payments and monthly payments for child tax credits. Increasing the spendable income of consumers drives demand for consumer goods. Second, supply chain issues for lack of shipping containers.
The best explanation for the supply chain issues I’ve read is from Lazaro Gamio and Peter S. Goodman’s article in the New York Times called "How the Supply Chain Crisis Unfolded." As I understand it, when the pandemic hit, there was increased demand for masks and personal protective equipment throughout the world. China produced most of these items, which subsequently used up the supply of shipping containers to distribute these in-demand goods. Meanwhile, the shutdown reduced the production of goods to export back to China. Consequently, the price of the containers increased because of the reduced supply. As pent-up demand has grown for other goods, the ports have been logjammed to compound the issue. It is a complicated issue that I’m learning more about daily.
Some of the items we’ve struggled to procure include equipment parts, packaging materials, and chemicals. In one case, we needed a bearing to repair a torque hub for one of our compost turners. The replacement part was unavailable until 2023, thus forcing us to purchase a new torque hub for around $12,000 to remedy the issue. We had a customer run into our trailer door during delivery, causing enough damage to require a new door. We are waiting for the parts that are still out 6-8 weeks. We replaced a garage door on a rear entrance to the farm that took four months to receive. In another case, we have to order paper bags for packing mushrooms with eight week lead time.
The article also points out that Just In Time (JIT) Manufacturing/Inventory has contributed to supply chain issues. Many companies, mine included, have scaled back the amount of onsite inventory to preserve cash flow. JIT works on the assumption that the goods and services required are available quickly. The supply chain issues exposed the cracks in the JIT model for manufacturing and inventory management.
Many questions remain. How much longer will inflation last? When will the supply chain loosen up? How can we change our purchasing process to mitigate a future event like this?